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U.S. and Iran Near Deal to End War, Trump to Decide on Sunday

WorldPolitics2h ago
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A newer version of this story is available at U.S. and Iran Near Deal to End War, With Final Decision Possible Within Days.

The United States and Iran are in the final stage of discussions on a memorandum of understanding to end their two-month war, with remaining gaps focused on wording. President Trump is reviewing a new draft and will decide by Sunday whether to accept the deal or resume military action. The potential agreement would address reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting the U.S. blockade, and releasing frozen Iranian funds.

Facts First

  • The U.S. and Iran are close to a deal to end the war, with a U.S. official stating remaining gaps are focused on 'wording'.
  • President Trump will likely decide by Sunday whether to accept the deal or resume the war, after meeting with negotiators.
  • The proposed memorandum of understanding (MOU) would address the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, lifting the U.S. blockade, and releasing frozen Iranian funds.
  • A 30-60 day period of negotiations on a detailed agreement would follow the MOU, according to Iran's foreign ministry.
  • House GOP leadership canceled a vote on a war powers resolution to limit Trump's campaign after it appeared they lacked votes to defeat it.

What Happened

A U.S. official briefed on negotiations stated on Saturday that the Trump administration and Iran are close to a deal to end the war. Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson confirmed the two sides are in the final stage of discussions on a memorandum of understanding (MOU). The remaining gaps are focused on the wording of several points. The new draft emerged from talks between Iran and Pakistani mediators, and President Trump stated he would meet with negotiators on Saturday to discuss Iran's latest offer. He said he would likely decide by Sunday whether to resume the war.

Pakistani Field Marshal Asim Munir, the lead mediator, left Tehran on Saturday after meeting with top officials to attempt to finalize a deal. Pakistan stated there was 'encouraging progress toward a final understanding' though no deal was finalized. Trump held a call on Saturday with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Egypt, Turkey, and Pakistan to discuss the deal.

Why this Matters to You

A deal to end the war could lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global oil shipments. This may help lower gasoline prices, which have risen to a nationwide average of $4.53. The agreement could also involve the lifting of a U.S. sea blockade on Iranian ports and the release of frozen Iranian funds, which may further ease global economic tensions that have contributed to stock market volatility and higher oil prices. If a deal is not reached, the resumption of war could disrupt these markets again and potentially lead to broader regional conflict.

What's Next

President Trump is expected to make a final decision on the deal by Sunday. If he accepts, the parties would sign a memorandum of understanding to end the war and commit to a 30-60 day period of negotiations on a more detailed agreement covering Iran's nuclear program and other issues. If he rejects the deal, Trump has instructed the U.S. military to be prepared for a 'full, large scale assault of Iran'. In Congress, House Republican leaders plan to reintroduce a war powers resolution to compel a withdrawal from the conflict when the House returns from its Memorial Day recess, after canceling a vote this week due to a lack of support.

Perspectives

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The Trump Administration maintains that a diplomatic breakthrough is possible and that the President is using the threat of massive military force to ensure Iran makes meaningful concessions. They argue that while the President prefers peace, he is prepared to 'blow them to kingdom come' if Iran does not meet the demand that it 'can never have a nuclear weapon.'
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Democrats criticize the administration for pursuing a 'strategic blunder' and an 'open-ended war of choice' that lacks congressional authorization. They have expressed fury over legislative maneuvers and argue that the conflict has been 'devastating' for the country.
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Republicans are divided between those who praise the President's 'bold action' and those who express unease regarding the legal authority to wage war without Congress. Some members emphasize the necessity of following the law and the War Powers Act, while others argue the President needs more authority to confront Iran.
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Israeli Leadership is reportedly highly skeptical of the negotiations and frustrated by the President's willingness to seek a deal. Prime Minister Netanyahu is described as wanting to resume military operations to degrade Iran's capabilities rather than settling for a diplomatic arrangement.
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Iranian Officials view the current negotiations with caution, suggesting that the U.S. must address issues like 'piracy' and frozen funds for talks to succeed. They maintain that time is on their side and that the U.S. is acting out of desperation for a deal.
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Economic Analysts warn that re-escalation risks are increasing, particularly regarding the Strait of Hormuz. They note that investors remain cautious due to the President's history of setting deadlines and then backing off, which creates volatility in the global energy market.