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Trump and Xi to Meet in Beijing Amid Iran War Stalemate and Rising Oil Prices

PoliticsWorldEconomy5/12/2026
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A newer version of this story is available at Trump Travels to China as Iran War Stalemate and Economic Concerns Weigh on Talks.

President Donald Trump will travel to Beijing this week to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping, with the stalled Iran war and its economic fallout expected to dominate talks. The summit follows Trump's rejection of Iran's latest proposal to end the conflict, which has kept the Strait of Hormuz closed and oil prices elevated. The U.S. hopes China will use its influence as Iran's largest oil customer to help reopen the strait and advance negotiations.

Facts First

  • President Trump will meet President Xi Jinping in Beijing this week, with the Iran war and AI safety on the agenda.
  • The U.S. rejected Iran's latest war proposal, which included demands for reparations and sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The war has closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil chokepoint, pushing Brent crude prices to over $105 a barrel.
  • The U.S. is pressuring China, Iran's largest oil buyer, to use its influence to reopen the strait and broker peace.
  • A delegation of U.S. CEOs, including Tim Cook and Elon Musk, is accompanying Trump to pursue business deals.

What Happened

President Donald Trump is scheduled to travel to Beijing on Tuesday for a state visit and meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The summit was delayed from March due to the Iran war, which began on February 28, 2026. Negotiations to end the war reached an impasse on Monday, May 11, after Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal, calling it "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE!" Iran's response demanded war reparations, full sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, an end to sanctions, and the release of seized assets. The U.S. had waited 10 days for Iran's reply to its own draft proposal.

The conflict has resulted in Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz to most shipping and the U.S. imposing a blockade on Iranian ports. Before the war, roughly 20% of the world's crude oil flowed through the strait. The closure has caused an economic shockwave, with Brent crude rising to $105.57 per barrel on Monday, up from roughly $70 before the war. Asian stock markets were mixed in reaction to the stalled talks.

Why this Matters to You

The ongoing war and blocked strait directly impact global energy costs. With oil prices significantly elevated, you are likely paying more for fuel, which may increase the cost of goods and services. The U.S. blockade and Iranian closure have cut off a key route for global oil shipments, contributing to this price surge.

As the U.S. seeks China's help to resolve the crisis, the outcome of this summit could influence the timeline for reopening the strait and stabilizing oil markets. Furthermore, the delegation of U.S. CEOs traveling with Trump may lead to new trade deals that could affect the availability and pricing of goods. A recent poll indicates most Americans believe tariffs are bad for the U.S. cost of living, so any trade agreements reached could have tangible economic effects.

What's Next

President Trump is expected to discuss the Iran war and Artificial Intelligence (AI) guardrails with President Xi. The U.S. hopes China will use its diplomatic and economic leverage... to pressure Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and agree to a deal. China has already urged Iran to reach a deal and has sent a "subtle message of discontent" to Iran over the strait's closure.

Trump is meeting with his national security team to discuss next steps on Iran, which may include resuming a U.S. operation to guide ships through the strait or resuming a bombing campaign. The U.S. and China have also been engaged in a quiet sanctions war related to Iran, which may be addressed. Following the summit, Trump and Xi may have three more potential meetings this year, including a planned state visit by Xi to the U.S. in the fall.

Perspectives

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U.S. Government Officials argue that the upcoming summit serves as a critical opportunity to establish communication channels on AI security and to secure 'more good deals' that rebalance trade and safeguard national security.
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China Analysts suggest that President Xi Jinping views the summit as a way to validate China's superpower status and maintain stability, while potentially using the conflict in Iran to gain leverage in negotiations.
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AI Security Experts express skepticism regarding the depth of potential cooperation, noting that previous engagements were often used by Beijing to gather intelligence rather than establish meaningful guardrails.
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Middle East Observers contend that the conflict involving Iran is a dominant force that could derail broader diplomatic goals and prolong a global energy crisis.
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Iranian Officials maintain that their actions are a pursuit of 'legitimate rights' and reject what they characterize as 'one-sided views and unreasonable demands' from the United States.
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Economic Analysts warn that global markets are increasingly fragile due to an overreliance on a small group of AI leaders and the potential for energy price spikes.